Dr. Laurentiu Danciu

Senior Researcher

Dr.  Laurentiu Danciu
Swiss Seismological Service (SED)
ETH Zürich
Dr. Laurentiu Danciu
NO FO 61.2
Sonneggstrasse 5
8092 Zürich

+41 44 632 74 39

Synapses of my experience: earthquake related hazard analysis; ground motions selection, modelling and prediction; structural seismic response analysis, vulnerability analysis and seismic risk/loss evaluation.

My research interests progress from seismology and earthquake engineering towards structural engineering. Currently, my research includes, but is not necessarily limited to: probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, particularly model development, technical integration and software development. Other areas of expertise are ground motion characterization and modelling for use in seismic hazard. Also, I am interested in structural modelling and structural vulnerability assessment with application to seismic risk assessment.

Mar. 2011 -

Senior Researcher Swiss Seismological Service, ETH Zurich, Switzerland

Mar. 2009 -

Mar. 2011

Postdoctoral Researcher Swiss Seismological Service, ETH Zurich, Switzerland

Dec. 2006 -

Feb. 2009

Postdoctoral Researcher Laboratory of Seismology, University of Patras, Greece
2006 Phd in Earthquake Engineering and Laboratory of Seismology, University of Patras, Greece. Thesis title: "Development of a System to Assess the Earthquake Damage Potential for Buildings – Intensiometer"

Jan. 2018 -

Mar. 2023 

Earthquake Risk Model for Switzerland (ERM-CH23)

May 2017 -

Dec. 2021

The 2020 update of the European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20) as a part of the SERA Project

Mar. 2014 -

Dec. 2016

Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis related activities within Seismic Hazard Modelling for Induced Seismicity, Swiss Competence Center on Supply of Electricity (SCCER-SoE)
Mar. 2014 Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis related activities within Seismic Hazard Modelling for Induced Seismicity, Swiss Competence Center on Supply of Electricity (SCCER-SoE)

Mar. 2012 -

Dec. 2017

Lead seismic hazard modeling team, as part of the Earthquake Hazard Model of the Middle East (EMME14) Project

Dec. 2013 -

May 2015

Lead Seismic Hazard Analyst / Technical Integrator 2015 Update Swiss Seismic Hazard Model

Jun. 2013 -

Dec. 2014

Lead Seismic Hazard Analyst / Technical Integrator Earthquake Model of the Middle East region: Hazard, Risk Assessment, Economics & Mitigation

Mar. 2010 -

Jun. 2013

Lead Seismic Hazard Analyst / Technical Integrator Seismic Harmonization in Europe [SHARE-Project]

Mar. 2009 -

Mar. 2010

Seismic Hazard Analyst Global Earthquake Model- pilot project [GEM1]
Since Nov. 2014 Harmonized Approach to stress tests for critical infrastructures against natural hazards – STREST Project
Mar. 2014 Contribute to Earthquake Hazard Model for Central Asia as established within EMCA Project

May 2014 -

Oct. 2014

Advisor to Balkan OQ – Seismic Hazard Mapping for Balkans, and initiative founded by United States Agency for International Development (USAID)

Adly, A., Danciu, L., Fäh, D. et al.  (2018). Probabilistic seismic hazard model for Cairo, Egypt: estimates and uncertainties. Bull Earthquake Eng  16, 5697-5733. doi: 10.1007/s10518-018-0440-7

Pagani, M., Garcia-Pelaez, J., Gee, R., Johnson, K., Poggi, V., Styron, R., Weatherill, G., Simionato, M., Viganò, D., Danciu, L. and Monelli, D (2018). Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Seismic Hazard Map (version 2018.1–December 2018). doi: 10.13117/GEM-GLOBAL-SEISMIC-HAZARD-MAP-2018.1

Giardini, D., Danciu, L., Erdik, M. et al. (2018). Seismic hazard map of the Middle East. Bull Earthquake Eng  16, 3564-3570. doi: 10.1007/s10518-018-0347-3

Danciu, L., Kale, Ö. & Akkar, S. (2018). The 2014 Earthquake Model of the Middle East: ground motion model and uncertainties. Bull Earthquake Eng  16, 3497-3533. doi: 10.1007/s10518-016-9989-1

Danciu, L., Şeşetyan, K., Demircioglu, M. et al.  (2018). The 2014 Earthquake Model of the Middle East: seismogenic sources. Bull Earthquake Eng  16, 3465-3496. doi: 10.1007/s10518-017-0096-8

Mignan, A., Danciu, L. & Giardini, D.  (2018). Considering large earthquake clustering in seismic risk analysis. Nat Hazards 91, 149-172. doi: 10.1007/s11069-016-2549-9

Crowley H., Dabbeek J., Despotaki V., Rodrigues D., Martins L., Silva V., Romão, X., Pereira N., Weatherill G. and Danciu L. (2021). European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20). EFEHR Technical Report 002 V1.0.0. doi: 10.7414/EUC-EFEHR-TR002-ESRM20

Danciu, L., Weatherill, G., Rovida, A., Basili, R., Bard, P. Y., Beauval, C., ... & Giardini, D. (2022). The 2020 European seismic hazard model: milestones and lessons learned. In Progresses in European Earthquake Engineering and Seismology: Third European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology–Bucharest, 3-25. Cham: Springer International Publishing. doi: 10.1007/978-3-031-15104-0_1

Danciu L., Nandan S., Reyes C., Basili R., Weatherill G., Beauval C., Rovida A., Vilanova S., Sesetyan K., Bard P-Y., Cotton F., Wiemer S., Giardini D.  (2021). The 2020 update of the European Seismic Hazard Model: Model Overview.. EFEHR Technical Report 001 v1.0.0. doi: 10.12686/a15

Danciu, L. and Giardini, D.  (2015). Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program - GSHAP legacy. Annals of Geophysics  58(1). doi: 10.4401/ag-6734

Ullah, S., Bindi, D., Pilz, M., Danciu, L., Weatherill, G., Zuccolo, E., Ischuk, A., Mikhailova, N.N, Abdrakhmatov, K. and Parolai, S. (2015). Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for Central Asia. Annals of Geophysics 58(1). doi: 10.4401/ag-6687

Mignan, A., Danciu, L., and Giardini, D. (2015). Reassessment of the Maximum Fault Rupture Length of Strike‐Slip Earthquakes and Inference on Mmax in the Anatolian Peninsula, Turkey. Seismological Research Letters 86(3), 890-900. doi: 10.1785/0220140252

Giardini, D., Wössner, J. and Danciu, L.  (2014). Mapping Europe's Seismic Hazard. Eos Trans. AGU 95(29), 261. doi: 10.4401/ag-6734

Hiemer, S., Woessner, J., Basili, R., Danciu, L., Giardini, D. and Wiemer, S.  (2014). A smoothed stochastic earthquake rate model considering seismicity and fault moment release for Europe. Geophysical Journal International 198, 1159-1172 . doi: 10.1093/gji/ggu186

Monelli, D., Pagani, M., Weatherill, G., Danciu, L. and Garcia, J. (2014). Modeling Distributed Seismicity for Probabilistic Seismic‐Hazard Analysis: Implementation and Insights with the OpenQuake Engine. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 104(4). doi: 10.1785/0120130309

Beauval, C., Yepes, H., Audin, L., Alvarado, A., Nocquet, J.-M., Monelli, D. and Danciu, L. (2014). Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in Quito, estimates and uncertainties. Seismological Research Letter 85(6), 1316-1327. doi: 10.1785/0220140036

Pagani, M., Monelli, D., Weatherill, G., Danciu, L., Crowley, H., Silva, V., Henshaw, P., Butler, L., Nastasi, M., Panzeri, L., Simionato, M. and Vigano, D. (2014). OpenQuake Engine: An Open Hazard (and Risk) Software for the Global Earthquake Model. Seismological Research Letters 85, 692-702. doi: 10.1785/0220130087

Delavaud, E., Cotton, F., Akkar, S., Scherbaum, F., Danciu, L., Beauval, C., Drouet, S., Douglas, J., Basili, R., Sandikkaya, M.A., Segou, M., Faccioli, E. and Theodoulidis, N. (2011). Toward a Ground-Motion Logic Tree for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment in Europe. Journal of Seismology 12(3), 451-473. doi: 10.1007/s10950-012-9281-z

Tselentis, G-A. and Danciu, L. (2010). Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in Greece – Part 1: Engineering ground motion parameters. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 10, 25-39. doi: 10.5194/nhess-10-25-2010

Tselentis, G-A., Danciu, L. and Sokos, E. (2010). Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in Greece – Part 2: Acceleration response spectra and elastic input energy spectra. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 10, 41-49. doi: 10.5194/nhess-10-41-2010

Tselentis, G-A. and Danciu, L. (2010). Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in Greece – Part 3: De-aggregation. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 10, 51-59. doi: 10.5194/nhess-10-51-2010

Tselentis, G-A. and Danciu, L. (2008). Relationship Between Modified Mercalli Intensity And Engineering Ground Motion Parameters In Greece. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 98(4), 13-36. doi: 10.1785/0120070172

Danciu, L. and Tselentis, G-A. (2007). Engineering Ground Motion Parameters Relationships for Greece. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 97(1b), 162-183. doi: 10.1785/0120050087

RISE - Real-time earthquake risk reduction for a resilient Europe

SERA - Seismology and Earthquake Engineering Research Infrastructure Alliance for Europe

EPOS - European Plate Observing System

SHARE - European Seismic Hazard Harmonization Model

EMME - Earthquake Model of the Middle East region: Hazard, Risk Assessment, Economics & Mitigation

EMCA - The Earthquake Model Central Asia

Global Earthquake Model

OpenQuake Platform

Harmonized approach to stress test for critical infrastructures against natural hazards