Publications

Journal publications

most recent, in press

Mai, P.M. (2008) Ground Motion: Complexity and Scaling in the Near Field of Earthquake Ruptures, in Encyclopedia of Complexity and Systems Science, W.H.K. Lee and R. Meyers (Eds.), Springer. accepted

Monelli, D., and P.M. Mai (2008). Bayesian inference of kinematic earthquake rupture parameters through fitting of strong motion data, Geophys. J. Int., Published article online, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2008.03733.x

Ripperger, J., P.M. Mai, and J. P. Ampuero (2008). Variability of near-field ground-motion from dynamic earthquake rupture simulation.  accepted for Bull. Seis. Soc. Am.

published

Käser, M., P.M. Mai, and M. Dumbser (2007), Accurate Calculation of Fault-Rupture Models Using the High-Order Discontinuous Galerkin Method on Tetrahedral Meshes, Bull. Seis. Soc. Am. 97: 1570-1586.

Ripperger, J., J. P. Ampuero, P.M. Mai, and D. Giardini (2007). Earthquake source characteristics from dynamic rupture with constrained stochastic fault stress.  J. Geophys. Res. 112: B04311, doi:10.1029/2006JB004515.

Boschi,L.,  J.-P. Ampuero, D. Peter, P. M. Mai, G. Soldati, D. Giardini (2007) Petascale computing for future breakthroughs in global seismology , Phys. Earth Planet. Int., 163 (1-4), 245-250, doi:10.1016/j.pepi.2007.02.011

Mai, P.M., P. Somerville, A. Pitarka, L. Dalguer, H. Miyake, G. Beroza, S.-G. Song, K. Irikura (2006). Fracture-energy scaling in dynamic rupture models of past earthquakes, Earthquakes: Radiated Energy and the Physics of Faulting, Geophysical Monograph Series 170 (edited by A. McGarr, R. Abercrombie, H. Kanamori), 283-294.

Ampuero, J.-P., J. Ripperger, and P.M. Mai (2006) Rupture nucleation and arrest for stochastic initial stress: quantitative insights from fracture energy balance, Earthquakes: Radiated Energy and the Physics of Faulting, Geophysical Monograph Series 170 (edited by A. McGarr, R. Abercrombie, H. Kanamori), 255-262

Sørensen, M.B., I. Oprsal, S. Bonnefoy-Claudet, K. Atakan, P. M. Mai, N. Pulido, and C. Yalciner (2006). Local site effects in Ataköy, Istanbul, Turkey, due to a future large earthquake in the Marmara Sea, Geophys. J. Int., doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2006.03204.x

Hillers, G., P.M. Mai, Y. Ben-Zion, and J.-P. Ampuero (2007). Statistical properties of seismicity of fault zones at different evolutionary stages, Geophys. J. Int., Geophys. J. Int. (2007) 169, 515–533 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2006.03275.x

Mai, P.M., J. Ripperger, J.-P. Ampuero and G. Hillers (2006), Frontiers in Source Modeling for Near-Source Ground-Motion Prediction, Third International Symposium on the Effects of Surface Geology on Seismic Motion, Grenoble, edited by P.-Y. Bard, E. Chaljub, C. Cornou, F. Cotton, P. Guegen, page 97 – 114.

Wössner, J., D. Schorlemmer, P.M. Mai, and S. Wiemer (2006). Publisher’s correction to ‘‘Spatial correlation of aftershock locations and on-fault main shock properties’’, J. Geophys. Res, Vol 111, B09399, doi:10.1029/2006JB004676.

Wössner, J., D. Schorlemmer, P.M. Mai, and S. Wiemer (2006). A quantitative test for the spatial and temporal relationship between mainshock rupture properties and aftershock locations, J. Geophys. Res, Vol. 111, B08301, doi:10.1029/2005JB003961.

Hillers, G., Y. Ben-Zion, and P.M. Mai, (2006). Seismicity on a fault controlled by rate-and-state dependent friction with spatial variation of the critical slip distance, J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1029/ 2005JB003859R

Mai, P.M., and K.B. Olsen (2005). Broadband ground-motion simulations using finite-difference synthetics and local scattering operators, Annual Report to the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC), November 2005.

Mai, P.M., P. Spudich, and J. Boatwright (2005). Hypocenter locations in finite-source rupture models, Bull. Seis. Soc. Am., Vol 95 (3), 965-980.

Oprsal, I., D. Fäh, P.M. Mai and D. Giardini (2005). Deterministic earthquake scenario for the Basel area – Simulating strong motion and site effects for Basel (Switzerland), Vol. 110, B04305, doi:10.1029/ 2004JB003188.

Manighetti, I., M. Campillo, C. Sammis, P.M. Mai, and G. King (2005). Evidence for self-similar, triangular slip distributions on earthquakes: implications for earthquake and fault mechanics, (electronic supplement)J. Geophys. Res., Vol 110 (B5): Art. No. B05302

Ripperger, J., and P.M. Mai (2004). Fast computation of static stress changes on 2D faults from final slip distributions, Geophys. Res. Lett., Vol. 31, No. 18, L18610 10.1029/2004GL020594.

Guatteri, M., P.M. Mai, and G.C. Beroza (2004). A pseudo-dynamic approximation to dynamic rupture models for strong ground motion prediction, Bull. Seis. Soc. Am., Vol 94 (6), pp. 2051-2063.

Hartzell, S. M. Guatteri, P.M. Mai, P.-C. Liu, and M. Fiske (2004). Calculation of broadband time histories of ground motion: Part II, Kinematic and dynamic modeling with theoretical Green's functions, Bull. Seis. Soc. Am., Vol. 95 (2), pp. 614–645.

Guatteri, M., P.M. Mai, G.C. Beroza, and J. Boatwright (2003). Strong-ground motion prediction from stochastic-dynamic source models, Bull. Seis. Soc. Am., Vol. 93 (1), pp. 301-313.

Mai , P.M. and G.C. Beroza (2003). A hybrid method for calculating near-source, broadband seismograms from an extended source, Phys. Earth Planet. Int., 137, 183-199.

Mai, P.M., and G.C. Beroza (2002). A spatial random-field model to characterize complexity in earthquake slip, J. Geophys. Res., 107(B11), 2308, doi:10.1029/2001JB000588, 2002.

Mai, P.M., M. Guatteri, and G.C. Beroza (2002). A stochastic-dynamic earthquake source model for strong motion prediction, 7th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, (Boston, July 2002).

Luco N., P.M. Mai, C.A. Cornell, and G.C. Beroza (2002). Probabilistic seismic demand analysis at a near-fault site using ground motion simulations based on a stochastic-kinematic earthquake source model, 7th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering (Boston, July 2002).

Mai, P.M., and G.C. Beroza (2000). Source-scaling properties from finite-fault rupture models, Bull. Seis. Soc. Am., 90 (3), 604-615.

Ritter, J.R.R., P.M. Mai, G. Stoll, and K. Fuchs (1997). Scattering of teleseismic waves in the lower crust - Observations in Massif Central, France, Phys. Earth Planet. Int., 104, 127-146.

Mayer, G., P.M. Mai, T. Plenefisch, H. Echtler, E. Lueschen, V. Wehrle, B. Mueller, K. Bonjer, C. Prodehl, and K. Fuchs (1997). The deep crust of the southern Rhine Graben - Reflectivity and seismicity as images of dynamic processes, Tectonophysics, 275 , 15-40.


PhD-Thesis:

P. M. Mai (2002). Characterizing earthquake source complexity for improved strong motion prediction

Thesis Abstract (*pdf)
Thesis (*pdf, 7MB)

Selected Conference Abstracts (entries only until Dec 2006, AGU ...)

Oglesby, D., Mai, P.M., Atakan, K., Pucci, S., and Pantosti, D. Ground motion from potential earthquakes in the Sea of Marmara, Turkey, accepted for AGU Fall meeting (San Francisco), December 2006.

G. Hillers, J.-P. Ampuero, Y. Ben-Zion, and P. M. Mai, Nucleation and arrest properties of instabilities in rate-and-state earthquake cycle simulations, accepted for AGU Fall meeting (San Francisco), December 2006.

Mai, P.M., and G. Hillers, earthquake scaling and near-source ground-motions from multi-cycle earthquake simulation, First European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, 3-8 Sept. 2006, Geneva, Switzerland.

Tscherrig, P , M. Bertogg, M. Guatteri, P.M. Mai, B. Grollimund, G.Kerland, Synthetic earthquake catalogues for a probabilistic earthquake hazard modelling: Case Study China, First European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, 3-8 Sept. 2006, Geneva, Switzerland.

Mai, P.M., J.-P. Ampuero, J. Ripperger, G. Hillers, Source-scaling and near-source ground-motion in the presence of earthquake rupture complexity, Conference of Mathematical Geophysics, Sea of Galilee (Israel), June 4-8, 2006.

Mai, P.M., G. Hillers, J.-P. Ampuero, and Y. Ben-Zion, Earthquake Scaling and Near-Source Ground-Motions from Multi-cycle Earthquake Simulation, EGU 2006, Vienna, April 3-7, 2006

Mai, P.M., G. Festa, and the SPICE Local-Scale task Group, The resolving power of kinematic source inversions: a blind test, EGU 2006, Vienna, April 3-7, 2006.

Oglesby, D., Mai, P.M., Atakan, K., Pucci, S., and Pantosti, D. Fault Geometry and Rupture Dynamics in the Marmara Sea, Turkey. SSA 2006, San Francisco, April 17-22, 2006.

Mai, P.M., S. Jonsson, and F. Bethmann, SRCMOD - an online resource for finite-source rupture models of past earthquakes, SSA 2006, San Francisco, April 17-22, 2006.

Mai, P.M., G. Hillers, J.-P. Ampuero, and Y. Ben-Zion, Earthquake Scaling and Near-Source Ground-Motions from Multi-cycle Earthquake Simulation (with Heterogeneity in Rate-and-State Friction), SSA 2006, San Francisco, April 17-22, 2006.

Mai, P.M. and K. B. Olsen, Near-source broadband ground-motions based on low-frequency finite-difference synthetics merged with high-frequency scattering operators, SSA 2006, San Francisco, April 17-22, 2006.

Mai, P.M. and G. Hillers, Macroscopic source parameters from multi-cycle earthquake simulation with heterogeneity in rate-and-state friction, Eos Trans. AGU, 86(52), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S51F-06.

Ripperger, J., P.M. Mai, J.-P. Ampuero, Nucleation and Propagation of Dynamic Earthquake Rupture Under Constrained Stochastic Shear Stress, Eos Trans. AGU, 86(52), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S53A-1081

Cabrera, E., M. Chavez, R. Madariaga, P.M. Mai, M. Frisenda, N. Perea, Strong Ground Motions Scenarios for Mexico City, Eos Trans. AGU, 86(52), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S53A-1071.

Käser, M.,A., M. Dumbser, P.M. Mai, and J. de al Puenta Alavarez, Simulation of Seismic Wave Propagation due to Finite Source Rupture Models Using an Arbitrarily High Order Discontinuous Galerkin Method on Tetrahedral Meshes, Eos Trans. AGU, 86(52), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S13A-0177.

Festa, G., P.M. Mai, C. Francois-Holden, J. Burjanek, S. di Carli, A. Emolo, A. Zollo, B. Delouis, R. Madariaga, , Inferring the resolution of source kinematic inversions: a blind test, Eos Trans. AGU, 86(52), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract NG43B-0581.

Ampuero, J.-P., J. Ripperger, and P.M. Mai, Rupture Paths in Kappa-Maps: Quantitative Insights on Heterogeneous Earthquake Ruptures From Energy Arguments, Eos Trans. AGU, 86(52), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S51F-04.

Oglesby, D.D., P.M. Mai, K. Atakan, D. Pantosti, and S. Pucci, Dynamic Rupture in the Presence of Fault Discontinuities: an Application to Faults in the Marmara Sea, Turkey, Eos Trans. AGU, 86(52), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S33C-03.

Meghraoui, M., D. Pantosti, S. Akyuz, S. Leroy, P.M. Mai, K. Atakan (2005). The RELIEF project: Large earthquake faulting and implications for the seismic hazard assessment in Europe, the 1999 Izmit-Duzce earthquake sequence (Mw 7.3 - 7.1, Turkey), Annual Meeting of the Seismological Society of America, Reno (NV), April 27-29, 2005

Mai, P.M., P. Somerville, A. Pitarka, L. Dalguer , H. Miyake, S.G. Song, G. Beroza, and K. Irikura (2005). On the Scaling of Fracture Energy From Dynamic Rupture Modeling of Past Earthquakes: Consequences for Near-Source Strong Motions? AGU Chapman conference on Radiated Energy and Physics of Earthquake Faulting, June 12-17, 2005, Portland (Maine).

Ampuero, J.-P., J. Ripperger, and P.M.Mai (2005). Rupture nucleation and arrest for stochastic initial stress: quantitative insights from fracture energy balance. AGU Chapman conference on Radiated Energy and Physics of Earthquake Faulting, June 12-17, 2005, Portland (Maine).

Mai, P.M., P. Somerville, A. Pitarka, L. Dalguer , H. Miyake, S.G. Song, G. Beroza, and K. Irikura (2005). On the scaling of dynamic source parameters and their relation to strong-motion prediction, Annual meeting of the Seismological Society of America (SSA), April 27-29, 2005, Lake Tahoe (Nevada).

G. Hillers, P.M. Mai, and Y. Ben-Zion (2005). Spatio-Temporal Slip Evolution Along a Heterogeneous Fault in a 3D Continuum Model, Annual meeting of the Seismological Society of America (SSA), April 27-29, 2005, Lake Tahoe (Nevada)

Mai, P.M., S. Jonsson, D. Small, and J. Salichon (2005). Source process of the 2003 Bam earthquake from inversion of seismic recordings and InSAR data, Annual meeting of the Seismological Society of America (SSA), April 27-29, 2005, Lake Tahoe (Nevada)

Meghraoui, M., D. Pantosti, S. Akyuz, S. Leroy, P.M. Mai, K. Atakan and the RELIEF Working Group (2005). The RELIEF project: Large earthquake faulting and implications for the seismic hazard assessment in Europe, the 1999 Izmit-Duzce earthquake sequence (Mw 7.3 - 7.1, Turkey), Annual meeting of the Seismological Society of America (SSA), April 27-29, 2005, Lake Tahoe (Nevada)

Mai, P. M., G. Hillers, J. Ripperger, and D. Giardini (2005). Frontiers in strong-motion prediction, International Symposium on Earthquake Engineering, commemorating the Tenth Anniversary of the 1995 Kobe earthquake, Kobe/Awaji Island, Jan 13-16, 2005.

Woessner, J., Ripperger, J., Mai, P.M., Wiemer, S. (2004). A Quantitative Test for the Spatial Relationship Between Aftershock Distributions and Mainshock Rupture Properties, Eos Trans. AGU, 85(47), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S24A-02.

Mai, P. M., and Ripperger, J. (2004). Dynamic Earthquake Rupture Modeling With Stochastic Fault Stress, Eos Trans. AGU, 85(47), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S41A-0941.

Ripperger, J., and P.M. Mai (2004). From Slip to Stress - A Short Cut (A fast way of calculating static stress changes from final slip distribution) , Eos Trans. AGU, 85(47), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S41A-0940 (get the GRL paper here ...).

Hillers, G., P.M. Mai, and Y. Ben-Zion (2004). Simulating Spatio-Temporal Slip Evolution of Fault Zones at Different Evolutionary Stages, Eos Trans. AGU, 85(47), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S41A-0942

Mai P.M., T. van Stiphout, and T. Iwata (2004). Analysis of slip-velocity functions in source rupture models: implications for near-source strong-motion modeling, Presentation # B06, Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Oct 2004, Fukuoka (Japan).

Miyake, H., P.M. Mai, and G. C. Beroza (2004). Pseudo-dynamic rupture characterization: insights from near-source ground motion simulations, and recent updates, Abstract # S08-08162054-8441A, Fall Meeting of the Seismological Society of Japan, Oct 9-11, 2004, Fukuoka (Japan).

Mai, P. M. (2004). SRCMOD - Database of finite-source rupture models, Annual Meeting of the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC), Sept 19-23, 2004, Palm Springs.

Mai, P. M. and K.B. Olsen (2004). Broadband simulation of ground motion from large earthquakes in the Los Angeles Basin, Annual Meeting of the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC), Sept 19-23, 2004, Palm Springs.

Woessner, J., Ripperger, J., Mai, P.M., Wiemer, S. (2004). Do afterhshocks occur in low-slip or increased shear-stress regions of the mainshocks rupture plane?, Annual Meeting of the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC), Sept 19-23, 2004, Palm Springs.

Hillers, G., P.M. Mai, and Y. Ben-Zion (2004). Simulating Spatio-Temporal Slip Evolution of Fault Zones at Different Evolutionary Stages, Annual Meeting of the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC), Sept 19-23, 2004, Palm Springs.

Mai, P. M. (2004). Upper bounds on near-source ground-motions: a perspective from rupture dynamics, XXIX General Assembly of the European Seismological Commission (ESC), Postdam, Sept 12-17, 2004.

Mai, P. M., S. Jonnson, D. Small, E. Meier, J. Salichon, and D. Giardini (2004). Using SAR interferometry and teleseismic data to determine source parameters of 2003 Bam earthquake, XXIX General Assembly of the European Seismological Commission (ESC), Postdam, Sept 12-17, 2004.

Mai, P.M., and M. Guatteri (2003). The Energy Budget of Earthquake Rupture: a View From Spontaneous Rupture Modeling and Finite-Source Models, Eos Trans. AGU, 84(46), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S42C-0188, 2003

M. Guatteri, P.M. Mai, and G. C. Beroza (2003). Physically Self-Consistent Earthquake Source Models for Strong Ground Motion Prediction, Eos Trans. AGU, 84(46), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S42F-04, 2003.

Miyake, H., M. Guatteri, P.M. Mai, and G. C. Beroza (2003). Towards High-Frequency Ground Motion Prediction Using a Dynamic/Pseudo-Dynamic Approach, Eos Trans. AGU, 84(46), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S52A-0121, 2003.

Mai, P.M., P. Spudich, and J.Boatwright (2003). Hypocenter Locations in Finite-Source Rupture Models, Seis. Res. Lett, Vol. 74 (2), p. 208.

Guatteri, M., P.M.Mai, G.C. Beroza,, J.Boatwright (2003). Dynamic and Pseudo-Dynamic Source Characterization for Strong Ground Motion Prediction, Geophys. Res. Abstracts, Vol. 5, 05251, 2003

Oprsal, I., D. Faeh, P.M. Mai, and D. Giardini (2003). Three dimensional modeling of strong ground-motion site effects in the Upper Rhine Graben due to the finite-extent source - 1356 Basel earthquake, Geophys. Res. Abstracts, Vol. 5, 12967.

M. Guatteri, P.M. Mai, and G. C. Beroza (2002). Dynamic and pseudo-dynamic source characterization for strong ground motion prediction, EOS Trans. AGU, 83 (47), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract S12B-1210..

Mai, P.M., M. Guatteri, and G. C. Beroza (2001). A stochastic-dynamic earthquake source model for strong motion prediction: Earthquake scenarios on the Hayward-Rodgers Creek fault system, EOS, Transactions, Am. Geophys. Union, (S31C-11), Vol. 82, No. 47, Suppl., p. 823

Mai, P.M., M. Guatteri, G. C. Beroza, and J. Boatwright (2001). Toward a more physical basis for strong-motion simulation, Seis. Res. Lett, 72, 273.

Mai, P.M., and G. C. Beroza (2000). Near-source strong motion prediction using a random-field earthquake source model, EOS, Transactions, Am. Geophys. Union (S71B-08), Vol. 81, No. 47, Suppl., p. 936.

Guatteri, M., P. M. Mai, J. Boatwright, and G. C. Beroza (2000). Strong ground motion simulation with stochastic-dynamic rupture models, EOS, Transactions, Am. Geophys. Union (S52A-23), Vol. 81, No. 47, Suppl., p. 866.

Mai, P.M., G. C. Beroza (2000). Realistic strong ground motion estimation based on complex earthquake slip, European Geophysical Society, Nice (France), April 2000.

Mai, P.M., G. C. Beroza (1999). Characterization of complex earthquake slip as a spatial random field, EOS, Transactions, Am. Geophys. Union (S32B-04), Vol. 80, No. 46, Suppl., p. 707.

Mai, P.M., G. C. Beroza, P. Segall (1998). Generalized description of finite-source rupture models, EOS, Transactions, Am. Geophys. Union (S31D-20), Vol. 79, No. 45, Suppl., p. 632.

Mai, P.M., J.R.R. Ritter, K. Fuchs (1996). The lower crust characterized as a band-limited random medium - Teleseismic coda analysis, in correspondence with wide-angle and near-vertical reflection data, EOS, Transactions, Am. Geophys. Union (S41B-10), Vol. 77, No. 43, Suppl., p. 469.