Publications

Manuscripts in Review

Hiemer, S., D. D. Jackson, Q. Wang, Y. Y. Kagan, J. Woessner, J. D. Zechar and S. Wiemer, A stochastic forecast of California earthquakes based on fault slip and smoothed seismicity, submitted to BSSA, May 2012.

Mignan, A., Functional Shape of the Earthquake Frequency-Magnitude Distribution and Completeness Magnitude, submitted to J. Geophys. Res., Mar. 2012

Mignan, A., C. Jiang, J. D. Zechar, S. Wiemer and Z. Wu, Setup of the China Earthquake Forecast Testing Center, submitted to Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., Feb. 2012

Eberhard, D. A. J., J. Douglas Zechar and Stefan Wiemer, A prospective earthquake forecast experiment in the western Pacific, submitted to GJI

Woessner J., S. Jonsson, H. Sudhaus, and C. Baumann, Reliability of Coulomb Stress Changes inferred from correlated uncertainties of finite-fault source models, in review with JGR, Dec. 2011.

Kraft, T., S. Husen, A. Mignan and D. Giardini, Optimization of a large-scale microseismic monitoring network in northern Switzerland, submitted to Geophys. J. Int., Nov. 2011

Tormann T., Wiemer S. and Hardebeck J., Earthquake Recurrence Models Fail when Earthquakes Fail to Reset the Stress Field, in review with Nature Geoscience, Nov. 2011.

Peer-Reviewed Articles

Bachmann, C. E., S. Wiemer, B. Goertz-Allmann, and J. Woessner (2012), Influence of pore-pressure on the event-size distribution of induced earthquakes, Geophys. Res. Let., VOL. 39, L09302, doi:10.1029/2012GL051480.

Mignan, A. and J. Woessner (2012), Estimating the magnitude of completeness in earthquake catalogs, Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis, doi:10.5078/corssa-00180805. Available at http://www.corssa.org

Caprio, M., M. Lancieri, G. B. Cua, A. Zollo and S. Wiemer (2011), An evolutionary approach to real-time moment magnitude estimation via inversion of displacement spectra, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L02301, doi:10.1029/2010GL045403,2011

Marzocchi, W. and J. D. Zechar (2011), Earthquake forecasting and earthquake prediction: different approaches for obtaining the best model, Seismol. Res. Lett., 82(3), 442-448, doi:10.1785/gssrl.82.3.442

Mignan, A., M. J. Werner, S. Wiemer, C.-C. Chen and Y.-M. Wu (2011), Bayesian Estimation of the Spatially Varying Completeness Magnitude of Earthquake Catalogs, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 101, doi: 10.1785/0120100223

Mignan, A. (2011), Retrospective on the Accelerating Seismic Release (ASR) Hypothesis: Controversy and New Horizons (invited review paper), Tectonophys., 505, doi: 10.1016/j.tecto.2011.03.010

Spada, M., Wiemer, S. and Kissling, E. (2011). Quantifying a Potential Bias in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment: Seismotectonic Zonation with Fractal Properties. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 101(6), 2694–2711. doi:10.1785/0120110006

Woessner, J., S. Hainzl, W. Marzocchi, M. J. Werner, A.M. Lombardi, F. Catalli, B. Enescu, M. Cocco, M. C. Gerstenberger and S. Wiemer (2011), A Retrospective Comparative Forecast Test on the 1992 Landers Sequence, J. Geophys. Res., B05305, doi:10.1029/2010JB007846

Zechar, J. D., J. Hardebeck, A. Michael, M. Naylor, S. Steacy, S. Wiemer and J. Zhuang (2011), Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis, Seismol. Res. Lett., 82(5), 686-690, doi:10.1785/gssrl.82.5.686

Tormann, T., S. Wiemer. (2010) Reply to ‘Comment on ‘Changes of reporting rates in the Southern Californian earthquake catalog, introduced by a new definition of ML’ by Tormann et al.’ by Duncan Agnew. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 100, 6, 3325-3328, doi: 10.1785/0120100151

Tormann, T., S. Wiemer, E. Hauksson (2010), Changes of reporting rates in the Southern Californian earthquake catalog, introduced by a new definition of ML. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 100, 4, 1733-1742, doi: 10.1785/0120090124

Werner, M. J., J. D. Zechar, W. Marzocchi and S. Wiemer (2010), Retrospective evaluation of the five-year and ten-year CSEP-Italy earthquake forecasts, Annals of Geophysics, 53(3), 11-30, doi:10.4401/ag-4840

Woessner, J., A. Christophersen, J. D. Zechar, and D. Monelli (2010), Building self-consistent, short-term earthquake probability (STEP) models : improved strategies and calibration procedures, Annals of Geophys., 53, 3, doi :10.4401/ag-4812

Zechar, J. D. (2010), Evaluating earthquake predictions and earthquake forecasts: a guide for students, Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis, doi:10.5078/corssa-77337879

Zechar, J. D. and J. Zhuang (2010), Risk and return: evaluating Reverse Tracing of Precursors earthquake predictions, Geophys. J. Int., 182, 1319-1326. doi:10.1111/j.1365-246X.2010.04666.x